Methodology

How the UK Business Succession Index is built, what it counts, and what it cannot tell you.

Companies House register·Measured base 3,475,770·Data as at 13 August 2026

Source

Every figure derives from the Companies House register — the public record of UK company officers, filings and status. We hold the officer register for 3,475,770 active companies with at least one serving director whose age bracket is recorded. No survey data, no estimates, and no third-party lists are involved in the headline counts.

What counts as succession-exposed

A company is counted when its oldest serving director is aged 60 or over. Serving means not resigned; age is taken from the director's recorded bracket, not an exact date of birth.

We use the oldest director rather than the board average deliberately. A company with a 70-year-old founder alongside two directors in their forties averages to the 50–60 bracket and would vanish from an average-based count — even though it is precisely the succession case the index exists to measure.

This is why our own figures differ from each other. On the same register, on the same day, 1,130,901 companies have an oldest director aged 60 or over, while 837,418 have an average director age of 60 or over. Both are correct; they answer different questions. This index publishes the oldest-director count throughout. Our sector pages and our published research use the average-based count and will therefore always report the smaller of the two. If you are comparing a figure from this index with one from elsewhere on this site, check which of the two you have before concluding that something has moved.

Why brackets, not ages

Companies House publishes directors' dates of birth to month precision. We deliberately store only the age bracket ('50-60', '60-70', '70+') rather than the date itself, to minimise the personal data held about identifiable individuals. That is a privacy choice with a analytical cost, and it is stated here rather than buried: because we hold a current bracket and not a birth date, we cannot reconstruct what any figure in this index would have been on a past date. See Limitations.

The quality and PURSUE subsets

Two narrower figures appear alongside the headline. Both are subsets of it, never additions to it, and both come from our own scoring model rather than from the public register.

Business quality 50 or higher — 63,464 nationally. Our model scores business quality 0–100 from filed financials and company characteristics, and this counts those at 50 or above. It is a model output, not an audited opinion on solvency, and it is a threshold count rather than a verdict on any individual company.

It is a much smaller number than the headline, and the reason is us, not the data. We assess far more companies than clear this bar: most are scored and then withheld — chiefly by a quality floor that publishes no score at all below 35 out of 100 — and smaller companies fall outside the size range our routine scoring covers. So read this as "how many clear a deliberately high bar", never as "how many we could look at".

PURSUE — 7,004 nationally. A narrower commercial judgement combining exit timing and business quality, used to decide what we surface to our own customers. Included here for transparency about how much of the succession population we consider genuinely acquirable; it is the most model-dependent figure on these pages.

What is excluded

The index covers operating businesses. 10 classifications are counted in every total but are given no page of their own: dormant and special-purpose holding vehicles (which record the highest succession rates in the entire dataset, because holding property or assets through a company skews old — true, and not a succession problem), and classifier catch-all buckets such as 'Other', which target no meaningful category. A cell also needs at least 250 companies before it gets a page, so small trade-and-region combinations are reported only within their parent totals.

What is excluded from the ranked tables

Ranking is a stronger claim than counting, so two further filters apply to the "highest succession pressure" tables — and only to those tables. No trade's figures change either way, and every excluded trade still counts towards every total published here; what is withheld is the ranking, not the data.

  • Too small to rank. A trade needs at least 2,000 measured companies. Below that a single percentage point is a handful of companies, and the table would be topped by whichever small cohort happens to skew oldest rather than by a real finding.
  • Nothing to buy. A trade is not ranked where more than 25% of its companies are limited by guarantee — sports and social clubs, associations, trusts and mutuals. These have no share capital, so there is no stake for a buyer to acquire and the question this index asks — whether an owner is nearing the point of selling up — does not arise. Their director ages are real and are counted in every total; they are simply not a finding about businesses changing hands.

Limitations

  • This is a snapshot, not a time series. Because we hold a current age bracket rather than a birth date, we cannot state how these figures have moved historically. Year-on-year movement will become available once successive snapshots accumulate — it is not available today, and we do not estimate it.
  • Coverage is not quite the whole register. Figures cover the 3,475,770 active companies where an age bracket is recorded for a serving director, which is 93.8% of the 3,706,712 companies currently active on the register. Rates are more robust than absolute counts, and rates are what we lead with.
  • Director age is a proxy for ownership. A director is not necessarily a shareholder. Most UK small companies are owner-managed, so the two overlap heavily, but the index measures who runs the company, not who owns it.
  • Accounts arrive late. Small companies file up to 21 months after their period end (median lag in our data is 255 days), so the financial figures reflect the most recent accounts filed — not the company's position today.
  • Sector classification is ours, not Companies House's. Trades are assigned by our own classifier from SIC codes and company information. Reclassification can move companies between trades between updates.

Updates

The index is regenerated from the live register and republished quarterly, on the first of January, April, July and October. These figures were drawn on 13 August 2026; the next update is due in October 2026. Every page states its own data date, so a figure read months after publication can be recognised as the published quarter's rather than mistaken for today's. Figures are not restated retrospectively: a number published for a given date stays as published.

Citation and reuse

These figures are free to quote and reproduce with attribution to ExitRadar and a link to the page used. If you need a cut that is not published here — a different trade grouping, a finer geography, or the underlying distribution — get in touch and we will usually provide it.

Back to the UK Business Succession Index.